WN 2059 · HOU → LAS

took off 9:05 PM CT · expected to land 9:48 PM PT (scheduled 8:10 PM CT → 9:22 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
4%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
61%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.03 in

LAS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2059 · HOU → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?