Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2169 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:31 PM PT, ETA 10:47 PM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2169 · OAK → SLC

took off 8:31 PM PT · expected to land 10:47 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +35 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↑ 8pm departures from OAK are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2169 · OAK → SLC

Odds over time