WN 2243 · RSW → BNA

departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2243 · RSW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?