WN 2285 · LAS → DEN

departs 9:41 PM PT · arrives 12:33 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8696E (B738), coming in as WN 2285 from SFO: in the air, landing about 9:11 PM PT, 24 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

62% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2285 · LAS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?