Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2319 LANDED 11:01 AM PT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2319 · SBA → LAS

took off 10:18 AM PT · landed 11:01 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ SBA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA

Weather at each end

SBA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2319 · SBA → LAS

Odds over time