WN 2383 · ELP → MDW

departs 1:45 PM MT · arrives 5:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2383 · ELP → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?