Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2411 · AUS → BUR
departs 4:50 PM CT · arrives 5:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.