Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2460 · LGA → HOU
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±13 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 1,367 ft
Visibility 9.33333 mi
Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 1,033 ft
Visibility 8.33333 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.