Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2461 LANDED 1:38 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2461 · MSY → MCI

took off 12:06 AM CT · landed 1:38 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MSY that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

MCI (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2461 · MSY → MCI

Odds over time