Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 249 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

WN 249 · AUS → ABQ

departs 10:25 PM CT · arrives 11:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are often late

↑ 10pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 249 · AUS → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?