Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 250
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 250 · HRL → AUS
departs 11:35 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 10/5
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from HRL are usually not late
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.