Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2511 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2511 · RDU → BNA

departs 11:02 AM ET · arrives 11:07 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2511 · RDU → BNA

Odds over time