Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2518 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2518 · BNA → LGA

departs 1:56 PM CT · arrives 4:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2518 · BNA → LGA

Odds over time