WN 2527 · LGA → BNA

departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2527 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?