Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 2556 · MCI → HOU
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.