Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2582 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:33 AM PT, ETA 11:34 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2582 · LGB → SMF

took off 10:33 AM PT · expected to land 11:34 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

↓ 10am departures from LGB are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2582 · LGB → SMF

Odds over time