WN 2589 · LIH → HNL

took off 3:53 PM HT · landed 4:07 PM HT (scheduled 3:45 PM HT → 4:40 PM HT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 5% of the time recently

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2589 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?