Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2592 LANDED 1:20 PM MT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2592 · HOU → PHX

took off 1:05 PM CT · landed 1:20 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2592 · HOU → PHX

Odds over time