Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2600 · MCO → AUS
departs 10:20 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 4%
Fri 10/9 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.37 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 4,167 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.