Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2609 · ECP → DAL
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.22 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.