Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2633
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2633 · MCO → DEN
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±7 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.37 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.