Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2643 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:03 PM CT, ETA 5:24 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2643 · TUL → MDW

took off 4:03 PM CT · expected to land 5:24 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from TUL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2643 · TUL → MDW

Odds over time