Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2645
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2645 · MCO → HOU
departs 10:20 PM ET · arrives 11:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
10pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.