WN 2668 · BWI → BNA

departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 10:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BWI that day

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2668 · BWI → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?