Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2685
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 2685 · MCO → PIT
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 10:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 20%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.54 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.