Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2710 · MCO → SRQ
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.37 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.