WN 2722 · MCO → HOU

departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9.83333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2722 · MCO → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?