Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2730 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:39 PM ET, ETA 12:35 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2730 · MCO → IND

took off 10:39 PM ET · expected to land 12:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 10pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2730 · MCO → IND

Odds over time