WN 2752 · MCO → RSW

departs 9:55 PM ET · arrives 11:03 PM ET

Your aircraft is N495WN (B737), coming in as WN 239 from ATL: landed 9:00 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

74% chance · ±0 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 9pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2752 · MCO → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?