Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2754 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:04 PM ET, ETA 5:58 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2754 · MCO → HOU

took off 5:04 PM ET · expected to land 5:58 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±4 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.75 in

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2754 · MCO → HOU

Odds over time