Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2761 LANDED 9:58 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 2761 · MCO → MSY

took off 9:36 AM ET · landed 9:58 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

MSY (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2761 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time