Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 279 · PNS → AUS
departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 7:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.55 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.