WN 2802 · MCO → SJU

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 12:01 PM AT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SJU that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2802 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?