WN 2884 · MCO → BDL

took off 9:52 PM ET · expected to land 12:04 AM ET (scheduled 8:15 PM ET → 10:59 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BDL?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
85%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 8pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2884 · MCO → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?