Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 294 · HRL → AUS
departs 5:35 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.48 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.