WN 2976 · MDW → RSW

departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2976 · MDW → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?