WN 2995 · MDW → SRQ

departs 8:10 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2995 · MDW → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?