Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3034 LANDED 4:05 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

WN 3034 · MCO → MSY

took off 3:41 PM ET · landed 4:05 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3034 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time