WN 306 · CUN → HOU

departs 2:10 PM EST · arrives 4:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 306 · CUN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?