WN 3111 · MSY → HOU

departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 9:26 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MSY that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

HOU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3111 · MSY → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?