Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3198 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3198 · IND → PHX

departs 4:35 PM ET · arrives 4:37 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from IND are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3198 · IND → PHX

Odds over time