Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3202 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3202 · OAK → SEA

departs 5:33 AM PT · arrives 7:04 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ OAK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from OAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3202 · OAK → SEA

Odds over time