WN 3212 · OGG → HNL

departs 6:00 AM HT · arrives 6:55 AM HT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ 6am departures from OGG are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,357 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HNL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3212 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?