WN 3218 · OGG → HNL

departs 5:30 PM HT · arrives 6:25 PM HT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OGG is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3218 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?