Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3253 LANDED 11:49 AM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

WN 3253 · OMA → MDW

took off 10:46 AM CT · landed 11:49 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3253 · OMA → MDW

Odds over time