WN 3342 · PHL → STL

departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3342 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?