WN 3378 · MCO → SJU

departs 1:57 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM AT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.40 in

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3378 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?