Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3401 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3401 · SAN → PHX

departs 7:33 PM PT · arrives 8:17 PM MT

Your aircraft is N955WN (B737), coming in as WN 374 from LAS: landed 5:34 PM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 7pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3401 · SAN → PHX

Odds over time