Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3446 LANDED 4:16 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

WN 3446 · MSY → STL

took off 2:52 PM CT · landed 4:16 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at MSY that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

STL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3446 · MSY → STL

Odds over time