WN 3447 · SAT → TPA

took off 5:52 PM CT · landed 8:53 PM ET (scheduled 5:45 PM CT → 9:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at SAT that day

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3447 · SAT → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?